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Expected Goals stats – One match stands out from the weekend…

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So these are this past weekend’s Premier League Expected Goals stats calculated during games (actual final scoreline in brackets) by Understat: As you can see, in most cases the Expected Goals stats were very similar to the actual scoreline.

Liverpool (1.37) may have went 2-0 up but the expected goals stats suggest they are not that much on top in a lot of games as Brighton (0.87) came back into the match and the scousers did just about  enough The real stand out of course is Newcastle United (0.21) v Manchester City (2.44), the visitors with an expected goals over 10 times higher than Newcastle’s.

Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.

Expected Goals is widely agreed to be the best way of measuring how well Premier League clubs play in any particular game.

Watford (0.50) may have taken the lead but the expected goals stats suggest Southampton (1.97) very much deserved their eventual 2-1 victory.

To get a better look at how sides are doing, the Expected Goals (xG) metric allows you to get a better picture of just how teams are performing.

The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
For more news relating to Manchester City, visit our sister site MCFC Live.
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